عنوان

Psychology of intelligence analysis /

1929667000

dltt

Psychology of intelligence analysis /

[Book]

by Richards J. Heuer, Jr

[Washington, D.C.] :

Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency,

1999

xxvi, 184 p. :

ill. ;

23 cm

Includes bibliographical references

pt. I. Our mental machinery. ch. 1. Thinking about thinking -- ch. 2. Perception : why can't we see what is there to be seen? -- ch. 3. Memory : how do we remember what we know? -- pt. II. Tools for thinking. ch. 4. Strategies for analytical judgement : transcending the limits of incomplete information -- ch. 5. Do you really need more information? -- ch. 6. Keeping an open mind -- ch. 7. Structuring analytical problems -- ch. 8. Analysis of competing hypotheses -- pt. III. Cognitive biases. ch. 9. What are cognitive biases? -- ch. 10. Biases in evaluation of evidence -- ch. 11. Biases in perception of cause and effect -- ch. 12. Biases in estimating probabilities -- ch. 13. Hindsight biases in evaluation of intelligence reporting -- pt. IV. Conclusions. ch. 14. Improving intelligence analysis

0

Cognition

Human information processing

Intelligence service-- United States

Heuer, Richards J

Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)

20011212124255.0

[Book]

Y