عنوان
پدید آورنده
موضوع
رده
کتابخانه
محل استقرار
NATIONAL BIBLIOGRAPHY NUMBER
Number
LA8qf3r56t
LANGUAGE OF THE ITEM
.Language of Text, Soundtrack etc
انگلیسی
TITLE AND STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
Title Proper
A Primer on Statistical Analysis of Dynamical Systems in Historical Social Sciences (with a Particular Emphasis on Secular Cycles)
General Material Designation
[Article]
First Statement of Responsibility
Turchin, Peter
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
This primer explicates the conceptual foundations of the statistical approach to detecting dynamical feedbacks. It is assumed that we have time-series data on several aspects of the studied system. The basic idea of the approach is to regress discrete rates of change of measured variables on variables themselves. I discuss several issues involved in the analysis, such as how to select the appropriate time step, or the delay parameter. The goal of the analysis is to determine whether a particular predictor variable, or set of variables, has a statistically detectable effect on the response. This is accomplished by cross-validation.
SET
Date of Publication
2005
Title
Structure and Dynamics
Volume Number
1/1
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Entry Element
Turchin, Peter
ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Electronic name
مطالعه متن کتاب [Article]
275578
a
Y
